Last week our 6 picks combined for 79.0 DKFP (DraftKings Fantasy Points). Denver Broncos QB Drew Lock led the way with 33.2 DKFP. Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones also contributed 16.4 DKFP to give our lineups and our reader’s lineups positive results in week 9. Now, let’s get the screens green again with our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 10 Picks: Sunday Main Slate. Here we go…
Top Stack – Buffalo Bills vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals are currently 2.5 point favorites versus the Bills. It should be noted the game total has jumped from 52 to 56 points. Undoubtedly the increase in the game total is warranted, especially with a marquee matchup between two of the NFL’s premier playmakers at quarterback. With such a high projected total I love the potential for a shootout which we always aim for in DFS.
QB Kyler Murray ($8,000) with WR DeAndre Hopkins ($7,700)
Kyler Murray has been remarkable through the halfway point of the season, throwing for 2,130 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. And then it’s impossible to ignore his 543 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns on the ground. In fact, Murray is on pace to be the third quarterback in NFL history to have 1,000 rushing yards in a season (Michael Vick in 2006, Lamar Jackson in 2019). This week he gets a Buffalo defense that is allowing 20 DKFP/GM to opposing quarterbacks in 2020. The Bills are far from the dominant defense they were in the past and will have their hands full this week with a dual-threat QB like Murray.
DeAndre Hopkins only saw three targets last week against the Miami Dolphins, finishing the game with a 3-30-0 receiving line and a measly 6 DKFP. But still, Hopkins ranks in the top five in receptions (60), receiving yards (734), and target share (29%) this season. Due to last weeks mediocre performance, I see no reason not to play D-Hop this week. Let’s not forget this Bills defense allowed DK Metcalf to torch them for 7 catches, 108 yards, and a touchdown (26.8 DKFP) last week. Furthermore, defensive backs Tre’Davious White (ankle), Micah Hyde (ankle), and Josh Norman (hamstring) have been limited in practice this week. Keep your eyes on the injury report, because if any of them are ruled out (especially White), Hopkins could have a monster day.
Let’s Keep It Going With…
WR John Brown Buffalo Bills ($5,300)
Although he did not find the end zone last week against the Seattle Seahawks, John Brown had his most productive game of the 2020 season, catching 8 of 11 targets for 99 yards, good for 17.9 DKFP respectively. Over the last three weeks, the Cardinals have allowed the second most DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers (51.7 DKFP). To put that into a better perspective, the Seahawks have allowed the most DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers (59.5 DKFP) over the last three weeks. I see this game playing out much like last week’s game against Seattle, with two pass-heavy offenses against average defenses. This stack is a GPP dream for week 10!
SPICY NARRATIVE ALERT: Brown was drafted by the Arizona Cardinals in the 3rd round of the 2014 NFL draft. He finished his Cardinals career with 2,515 receiving yards and 17 TDs. Sunday will be Browns’ first time facing his old team. At $5,300 on DraftKings, Josh is my favorite Bill to bring back in my Murray-Hopkins stacks.
Mike Davis Carolina Panthers ($4,000)
Christian McCaffery is considered “week to week” after suffering a shoulder injury in last week’s 33-31 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. I love you DraftKings, but there appears to be a mistake in pricing Mike Davis this week. Davis is currently priced at the BARE MINIMUM for a running back. With CMC ruled out, Davis will be operating as an RB1 this week versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In the six games Davis has started for McCaffery this year, he has averaged a respectable 17.5 DKFP/GM. Although Tampa Bay has the NFL’s No. 1 rush defense, allowing only 78 yards per game this year, Davis does not have to do much to pay off his price tag. Even if he only replicates his week two previous games versus the Buccaneers (15.5 DKFP) he is a fantastic value and a cash game lock this week on DraftKings.
Evan Engram New York Giants ($4,500)
In the last three weeks, Engram has caught 16 of 29 targets for 155 yards and one touchdown, averaging 13 DKFP/GM respectively. He owns a 22% target share, which ranks second (behind Darren Waller) among tight ends on the DraftKings main slate. This week Engram faces a Philadelphia Eagles defense that has allowed the 4th most DKFP/GM (16.6 DKFP) to opposing tight ends. In week seven, Engram caught six of nine targets for 46 yards versus the Eagles, good for 10.9 DKFP. If Engram can replicate that and find the endzone, he will be a steal at $4,500 on DraftKings this week. Engram will be well represented in my GPP lineups this week.
New Orleans Saints ($3,000)
First off the New Orleans Saints completely smashed Tom Brady and the Buccaneers last week. The Saints defense finished that game with 3 sacks, 3 interceptions while only allowing THREE points, good for 16 DKFP. Even after such a great performance, DraftKings only raised their price $100 this week versus the San Francisco 49ers. The injury bug has certainly been an issue in San Francisco, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Here are key playmakers that will be watching from the sideline in week 10.
QB Jimmy Garoppolo (ankle) IR
TE George Kittle (foot) IR
RB Raheem Mostert (ankle) IR
WR Deebo Samuel (hamstring) Doubtful
WR Kendrick Bourne (COVID 19) Questionable
RB Jeff Wilson JR (ankle) IR
RB Tevin Coleman (knee) Doubtful
If the Saints defense can put up big numbers against Tampa Bay, I believe they can easily repeat that in week 10 against a banged-up 49ers offense. Take the Saints defense in any format this week with confidence.
These are some of the primary players we will have in our GPP and Cash lineups for DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 10 Picks: Sunday Main Slate. Good Luck, and may your screens always be green.