Top Stack – Cleveland Browns vs. Tennessee Titans
The Browns travel to Tennessee this week in a game currently projected for 53 total points, which is the highest implied game total on DraftKings Sunday main slate. Both teams typically run the ball. The Browns average161 rushing yards/GM), the most in the NFL. The Titans average 158 rushing yards/GM) good for third-most in the league. Nonetheless, I like targeting the passing game here in GPP’s with the hope we will see a high scoring shoot-out at low ownership. Let’s delve into this game and more in our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 13 Picks
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games on the road versus the Titans. I’ll be taking the game total over 53 as well.
QB Baker Mayfield ($5,300) with WR Jarvis Landry ($6,200)
The main reason I like this stack is the fact that Baker Mayfield is priced at just $5,300. That is pretty low for a game with such a high projected total. Now, I know what you’re thinking, Mayfield in tournaments?! He has only scored 20 or more DKFP in but one game in 2020. Furthermore, he has yet to throw for 300 yards this season. But in order to win a GPP, we have got to get a little crazy. So, go ahead and call me crazy. The Titans have allowed the 5th most DKFP/GM to opposing quarterbacks (21.3 DKFP/GM) and Baker does have a 30.8 DKFP game under his belt this season versus the Bengals, so the upside is certainly there.
Jarvis Landry is coming off his most productive game of the season, hauling in 8 of 11 targets for 143 yards and a touchdown last week versus the Jaguars (31.3 DKFP). Ever since OBJ went down with an injury in week 7, Landry owns a robust 31% target share, which ranks 6th amongst wide receivers during that time. And the Titans have allowed 41.5 DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers, ranking 5th worst in the NFL this season.
Bring it back with…
TE Anthony Firkser Tennessee Titans ($2,500)
Fellow tight end Jonnu Smith (ankle) has already been ruled out, meaning Anthony Firkser will step into the No. 1 tight end role for the Titans. Firkser has shown upside this season, even in a backup role, as his 8-113-1 receiving line and 28.3 DKFP in week 5 versus the Texans is evidence of. The Browns have allowed the second-most DKFP/GM to opposing tight ends (15.7 DKFP). At his bare minimum price of $2,500 this week, Firkser is a cash game staple with plenty of upside.
David Montgomery Chicago Bears ($5,500)
David Montgomery is yet another player coming off the best game of his season, rushing for 103 yards and catching 5 passes for 40 yards and a touchdown (28.3 DKFP) last week versus the Green Bay Packers. Amongst running backs on the main slate, he ranks in the top five in rushing market share (65%) and offensive snaps (68.9%). We are pretty much getting a three down back with Montgomery and at the bargain price of $5,500. This week he faces a Detroit Lions defense that has allowed running backs to average 33.3 DKFP/GM, which is the worst in the NFL.
Robert Woods Los Angeles Rams ($5,900)
Robert Woods has seen a monstrous 27 targets and 3 rushing attempts over the last two weeks. Over that span he has a 19-210-1 receiving line, averaging 24.7 DKFP/GM. That kind of volume under $6,000 on DraftKings is incredible. Matter of fact, over the last four weeks Woods owns nearly a 30% target share and this week he faces an Arizona Cardinals defense that has allowed 42.6 DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers over the last four weeks, which is 8th worst in the NFL.
Mike Gesicki Miami Dolphins ($4,200)
This play hinges heavily on who starts at quarterback for the Dolphins. If Ryan Fitzpatrick gets the start, I really like Mike Gesicki at $4,200 this week on DraftKings. With Fitzpatrick at the helm, Gesicki owns a 37-324-3 receiving line and averages 7.4 DKFP/GM. While these numbers won’t “wow” anybody, Gesicki has hit a ceiling of 30 DKFP with Fitzpatrick starting (8-130-1 versus Buffalo in week 2). This week he faces a Cincinnati Bengals defense that has allowed 15.3 DKFP/GM to opposing tight ends, which is the 5th most in the NFL. Keep your eyes on the injury reports and lock Gesicki in at tight end in GPP’s if Fitzpatrick starts.
Seattle Seahawks ($3,300)
The Seahawks host the New York Giants this week, who may be rolling out back up quarterback Colt McCoy, with Daniel Jones (hamstring) currently doubtful to play. Seattle ranks tied for 7th in sacks this season with 31, while the Giants have allowed the 5th most sacks in the NFL this year. The Seahawks defense is coming off its best performance of the year, only allowing 17 points while sacking Carson Wentz six times and picking him off once last week (9 DKFP). I like Seattle to carry over the momentum from last week to this week against a Giants offense who should struggle to do much offensively, especially if Daniel Jones is out.
These are some of the primary players we will have in our GPP and Cash lineups for DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 13 Picks. Good Luck, and may your screens always be green.
Let us know what you think of our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 13 Picks