Top Stack – Kansas City Chiefs vs. New Orleans Saints
The Chiefs and the Saints face off at the Superdome in Week 15’s highest projected game total. Saint’s quarterback Drew Brees is expected to make his anticipated return after missing the last month with broken ribs. Both offenses are averaging a robust 28 points scored per game this season. Unfortunately, both defenses have also allowed nearly 21 points per game. Vegas expects this game to be a shootout and I can’t say I disagree. Needless to say, it is our featured game stack in our DraftKings NFL 2020 week 15 picks. Let’s get to it and make those screens go green.
QB Patrick Mahomes ($7,900) with TE Travis Kelce ($8,000)
Patrick Mahomes is in full MVP mode, leading the league with 4,208 passing yards while throwing 33 touchdowns to only 5 interceptions. If those numbers are not impressive enough, Mahomes has rushed for an additional 250 yards, 2 rushing TDs. Mahomes averages a remarkable 28 DKFP/GM in 2020. While the Saints defense has been in top form this season, allowing the third-fewest DKFP/GM to opposing QB’s (15.8 DKFP). However, they just allowed rookie QB Jalen Hurts to score a respectable 23.3 DKFP against them in week 14. With his “Houdini-like” abilities, Mahomes should be in line for a big day at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome this Sunday.
Travis Kelce aka the NFL’s leading receiver, no that is not a typo, leads the NFL with a remarkable 1,250 yards receiving, as a TIGHT END! Unquestionably Kelce is my favorite stack option alongside Mahomes this week. Not only does Kelce lead all tight ends on the main slate in target share (24.4%), receptions (90), yards after catch (499), and touchdowns (9), but he ranks in the top 15 amongst all receivers in total air yards with 1,100. Normally paying the hefty price tag of $8,000 for a tight end is not usually a decision I would make. However, Kelce has too much upside in this spot and offers great leverage in the FLEX position off Tyreek Hill this week on DraftKings.
This week Patrick Mahomes will be making only his second career NFL start inside a dome. His first one being last year against the Detroit Lions, where he threw for 315 yards and rushed for 54 yards, good for 18 DKFP. It is worth noting that Kansas City was without star wide receiver Tyreek Hill in that game, that will not be the case this year.
Bring it back with…
RB Alvin Kamara New Orleans Saints ($7,400)
Alvin Kamara is coming off his best game since Taysom Hill took over for the injured Drew Brees in week 9. Kamara rushed for 50 yards and a touchdown but also caught 7 of 10 targets for an additional 44 yards (22.4 DKFP) last week versus the Philadelphia Eagles. The uptick in passing targets is encouraging, considering Kamara thrives in the passing game and has only seen six total targets from weeks 10-13. That number should only increase this week as all pro-WR Michael Thomas (ankle) has been officially ruled out. Assuming the Chiefs get out to a lead, New Orleans will be forced to throw the ball. That game script plays right in favor of Kamara and his league-leading 77 receptions, 699 receiving yards, 4 receiving touchdowns, and 23% target share amongst running backs.
Leonard Fournette TB $4,500
While Ronald Jones II (finger, COVID 19 reserve list) has not officially been ruled out, it appears likely that Leonard Fournette will get the start at running back this week for Tampa Bay. This year in the three games where Fournette has seen at least ten carries he has finished with 10.1 DKFP, 15.7 DKFP, and 30.6 DKFP respectively. The Atlanta Falcons run defense has been stingy this year, only allowing 70 rushing yards and 20.8 DKFP/GM to opposing backfields. But at $4,500 on DraftKings, Fournette does not have to do much to pay off his price tag, and given the potential increase in usage this week he grades out as a solid cash gameplay.
Brandon Aiyuk San Francisco ($6,300)
Brandon Aiyuk has been impressive during his rookie campaign, catching 50 balls for 660 yards and four touchdowns. In fact, since week 7 Aiyuk ranks third amongst all wide receivers with a 30% target share. With key pass-catchers George Kittle and Deebo Samuel out this week, Aiyuk should continue to operate as the 49er’s top receiver. This week he faces a Dallas Cowboys defense that has allowed the 5th most DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers (34.4 DKFP/GM). Aiyuk will be well represented in all lineup formats in Week 15.
Hayden Hurst Atlanta Falcons ($3,300)
Our readers know I have been riding and dying with Hayden Hurst all season long. I am extremely confident this will be the week he finally delivers. First off, Julio Jones (hamstring) has officially been ruled out, which frees up a 20% target share. Secondly, the Buccaneers have allowed the 9th most DKFP/GM to opposing tight ends (14.3 DKFP/GM) this season. Lastly, Hurst is hovering just above $3,000 on DraftKings and with a 15% target share (which should see a bump with Julio out) makes for a great punt play in GPP’s this week.
Seattle Seahawks ($3,100)
The Seahawks fly east this week in a match-up with the Washington Football Team. Starting QB Alex Smith (calf) has been ruled out for this game, which means Dwayne Haskins will start at quarterback for Washington this week. In 14 career NFL games, Haskins has thrown 11 touchdowns to 10 interceptions, thus he is certainly no stranger to turnovers. Washington’s offense has also allowed the 5th most sacks, while Seattle’s defense ranks T7 in sacks this season. In four starts this season, Haskins has been brought down a whopping 13 times! Simply put, I love the Seahawk’s chances of generating pressure this week. We all know that pressure leads to sacks and turnovers, which reign supreme on DraftKings.
Let us know what you think of our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 15 Picks