Last week our 6 picks combined for 65.1 DKFP (DraftKings Fantasy Points). Seattle Seahawks WR DK Metcalf led the way with 43.1 DKFP. Unfortunately, our team stack and tight end pick let us down in week 8. However, it is a new week and we are back for week 9 and ready to regain our winning ways. Now, let’s get the screens green again with our DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 9 Picks: Sunday Main Slate. Here we go…
Top Stack – Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons are currently 4 point favorites at home against the Broncos while the total has climbed up to 50 points after opening at 47.5 points. Both teams are giving up at least 26.1 total points per game while surrendering over 360 total yards per game. The Falcons are allowing the second-most passing yards per game (311.4) in the NFL, which is a decent segue into our top QB-pass catcher stack of the week.
Drew Lock and the Broncos made a dramatic comeback last week versus the Chargers, winning the game on a last-second touchdown pass from Lock to KJ Hamler. Lock closed out the game with 248 passing yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, finishing with 20.8 DKFP respectively. This week Lock gets a matchup against a Falcons defense that has allowed the second-most DKFP/GM to opposing quarterbacks (25.8 DKFP/GM). While Drew Lock has underperformed this season, only averaging 10.8 DKFP/GM through five games, he has faced a trio of top tier defenses. The Steelers (16.4 DKFP/GM allowed to QB, 7th fewest), Patriots (15.1 DKFP/GM) and the Chiefs (16.1 DKFP/GM) are all a murders row for opposing quarterbacks. Lock is also the fourth cheapest quarterback on DraftKings this week, making him a great value play.
The Falcons are allowing the most DraftKings fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends (19.1 DKFP/GM), making Noah Fant my preferred stacking option with Drew Lock. Fant owns a 16.3% target share, which ranks 7th amongst tight ends on the DraftKings main slate and he is coming off a game where he saw nine targets versus the Chargers, finishing the game with a 7-47-0 receiving line and 11.7 DKFP.
Although fellow tight end Albert Okwuegbunam has been eating into Fant’s workload, seeing 14 total targets over the last three weeks, I will choose the latter here. Plus, I mean the last time Fant was priced at $4,600 was in week one versus the Titans, where he put up 19.1 DKFP on a 5-81-1 receiving line. So, we MUST play him, right? Although that is hyperbole, I will most certainly be rostering Noah Fant this week in my Drew Lock stacks. He is simply too cheap given his upside in this spot, especially in GPP tournaments.
Let’s Keep It Going With…
Julio Jones Atlanta Falcons ($7,200)
With fellow wide receivers Calvin Ridley (foot) and Russell Gage (knee, shoulder) currently questionable, Jones may see an increase from his already massive 25.4% target share (5th highest on DraftKings main slate amongst WR’s). Although the Broncos allow a middling 38.6 DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers, they may be without their top two cornerbacks Bryce Callahan (ankle) and A.J. Bouye (concussion) who is currently questionable. Matter of fact, Denver promoted cornerback Kevin Toliver to the active roster on Thursday, hinting that one of either Bouye or Callahan may not play. Julio has been red hot the last three weeks, catching 23 of 29 targets for 271 yards and two touchdowns. I cannot help but seeing that trend continue this week against a banged-up Broncos secondary.
David Johnson Houston Texans ($5,600)
David Johnson has scored double digit fantasy points in all but one game this season, and that lone game was against the Baltimore Ravens. This week he gets a fantastic matchup with a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that has allowed the 6th most DKFP/GM to opposing running backs (29.4 DKFP/GM). Johnson rushed for 96 yards and caught two of four targets for 7 yards (12.3 DKFP) in week five against the Jaguars. Coming off a bye week and currently favored by seven points, I like Houston to win the game and I expect David Johnson to play a big part in that this week.
Hunter Henry Los Angeles Chargers ($4,000)
Over the last four weeks the Raiders have allowed 17.8 DKFP/GM to opposing tight ends, which is the third most in the NFL over that span. Hunter Henry is the cheapest he has been all year at $4,000 on DraftKings. I understand he has been pedestrian on the stat sheet, averaging 9.6 DKFP/GM and only scoring one touchdown this year. But he still ranks in the top ten amongst tight ends in target share (18%), air yards (327) and yards after the catch (148). At his bargain price, Hunter Henry should be a popular play on DraftKings this week against the Las Vegas Raiders.
New York Giants ($2,700)
Although two sacks and one turnover wont “wow” anyone in the stat sheet (4 DKFP), the Giants defense impressed me last week versus Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In fact, they rank 13th in total yards allowed (355) this year compared to ranking 25th in total yards allowed (377) in 2019. But the biggest improvement is in the QB pressure department, where New York currently ranks 9th in the NFL with 20 sacks. This week the Giants should be much more successful at getting to the quarterback against a Washington Football Team offensive line that has given up 26 total sacks this season, which ranks 30th in the NFL. Sacks lead to turnovers and at under $3,000 on DraftKings, the Giants are the Occam’s razor play of the week. Keep it simple!
These are some of the primary players we will have in our GPP and Cash lineups for DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 9 Picks: Sunday Main Slate. Good Luck, and may your screens always be green.