The NFL has made it clear it was determined to finish the season regardless of Covid-19. We are now days away from completing a season that at times seemed in doubt. The number of NFL coronavirus updates over the season has been at times overwhelming to process as DFS players and Sports Bettors. I believe we owe thanks to the league for bringing football to us during a difficult time. We also want to thank all our loyal readers who stuck with us through great weeks and some weeks that were forgettable. We now look forward to the playoffs and continuing to offer our analysis in DraftKings but now we bring you our DraftKings NFL Week 17 Picks.
Top Stack – Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans
The Tennessee Titans can clinch the AFC South title with a win over the Texans or if the Indianapolis Colts lose to the Jacksonville Jaguars this week. While the Titans rely heavily on their running game, the Texans unfortunately have been plagued by inconsistencies throughout 2020. Unquestionably both these defenses are quite inefficient. Both squads rank near the bottom of the league in points allowed per game and total yards allowed per game. As both teams head in opposite directions this game represents the perfect example of the conundrum that is in making DraftKings NFL Week 17 Picks. However, with a 56.5-point game total and the Titans in a must-win game, Tennessee is my favorite stack this week on DraftKings.
QB Ryan Tannehill ($7,000) with RB Derrick Henry ($9,400)
We all know Derrick Henry is the star of this offense. Therefore, I simply elect to use the good old QB-RB stack this week. In particular, I want exposure to ALL the Titans points scored in week 17. Therefore what better way then playing both Ryan Tannehill and his stud running back. As I mentioned before, the Texan’s defense has been abysmal on all fronts. Houston has allowed a whopping 32.3 DKFP to opposing backfields this season. No surprise that is the worst in the league. Furthermore, they surrender a hefty 19.4 DKFP/GM to opposing quarterbacks as well. See why I love this stack?
First off, Derrick Henry leads the league with 1,777 rushing yards. Henry needs only needs 223 yards to become the eighth member of the 2,000-yards in a season club. Secondly, there is no doubt that Henry will be the offensive focus for Tennessee this week. The DraftKings price is high on him, but when is it not? Henry averages an impressive 21.7 DKFP/GM. Lastly, he has rushed for 100+ yards in nine games and has over 200 yards in 2 games this season. No need to overthink this, use Henry in your GPP and Cash lineups this week.
Ryan Tannehill is the wild card here as I fully expect the Titans to run Derrick Henry into the ground. If the Texans can put up some points (more on that below), both Tannehill and Henry can easily hit value. On the season, Tannehill has thrown for 3,601 yards with 32 touchdowns and only 7 interceptions, resulting in 22.2 DKFP/GM. However, what stands out most is his sneaky rushing upside. Tannehill ranks 13th in rushing yards (228) and tied for 6th in rushing touchdowns (5) amongst quarterbacks this season.
In their first meeting versus the Texans this year both Tannehill and Henry had monster games. Henry rushed for 212 yards and 2 TDs to finish with 43.4 DKFP. Tannehill threw for 366 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, finishing with 33.6 DKFP. I’ll take my “chances” we can get a repeat performance in week 17.
Bring it back with-
WR Brandin Cooks Houston Texans ($6,900)
Although the Houston Texans (4-11) have had a disappointing season, QB Deshaun Watson has had a remarkable year. He has thrown for more yards (4,458) and touchdowns (30) than he has in any other season. And since wideout Will Fuller has been out of the lineup, Brandin Cooks has stepped into the wide receiver No. 1 role in Houston. Cooks has filled in admirably, catching 18 of 25 targets for 265 yards and one touchdown over that three-week span. In addition, Cooks is coming off a giant 30.1 DKFP game last week against the Cincinnati Bengals. This week Cooks gets a Titans defense that has allowed the third most DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers (44 DKFP). Cooks will be well represented in my GPP lineups in week 17.
Malcolm Brown Los Angeles Rams ($4,300)
The Los Angeles Rams running back by committee approach has been tossed out that window. Darrell Henderson (ankle) is out and Cam Akers (ankle) is questionable this week in their finale versus the Arizona Cardinals. The opportunity to shine could not be any greater for Malcolm Brown. He is slated to start at running back in a critical win-and-you’re-in game. The match-up with Arizona is certainly enticing. Over the last four weeks, Arizona has allowed the 8th most rushing yards per game (113.3) and the 5th most DKFP/GM (28.7 DKFP/GM) to opposing backfields. Furthermore, with quarterback Jared Goff (thumb) and wide receiver Cooper Kupp (COVID 19) out this week, the Rams should rely heavily on their running game.
The only time Brown has seen at least 15 touches this season came in week one versus the Dallas Cowboys where he rushed for 79 yards and two touchdowns while hauling in three passes for an additional 31 yards, finishing with 26 DKFP respectively. At $4,300 Malcolm Brown is simply too cheap given the situation. Brown will be a really nice GPP option this week.
DK Metcalf Seattle Seahawks ($7,300)
The Seattle Seahawks are still in play for the No. 1 seed in the NFC, but first, they need to take care of business versus the San Francisco 49ers as well as have both the Green Bay Packers and New Orleans Saints lose this week. With that said, Seattle should be rolling out all their starters on Sunday and the first thing that stands out to me is how cheap DK Metcalf is. Although Metcalf has not hit the 20 DKFP mark in the last four weeks, he makes for a great buy-low option this week in GPP’s versus the 49ers.
On the year, Metcalf ranks in the top five amongst wide receivers in receiving yards, touchdowns, and air yards. Moreover, San Francisco has allowed the 8th most DKFP/GM to opposing wide receivers (41 DKFP) over the last four weeks. Metcalf went off in the first meeting versus the Niners, catching 12 passes for 161 yards and two touchdowns, good for 43.1 DKFP. If he can even produce half of those results he makes for a great play in week 17 cash lineups.
Irv Smith Jr. Minnesota Vikings ($3,900)
The Minnesota Vikings placed tight end Kyle Rudolph (foot) on injured reserve yesterday, which means Irv Smith Jr. should be in line for the bulk of tight end snaps again this week versus Detroit Lions. The Lions have been a disaster on the defensive side of the ball all season. Detroit currently allows the most points scored per game (32.1) and the second-most yards allowed per game (414). Add that to the fact that they have allowed the second-most DKFP/GM to opposing tight ends (18.4 DKFP) over the last four weeks and Smith Jr. makes for a fantastic cheap tight end play. RB Dalvin Cook (personal) has been ruled out, leaving more target shares to distribute among the Viking’s offense.
Cleveland Browns ($2,500)
Pittsburgh Steelers Head Coach Mike Tomlin has already stated that QB Ben Roethlisberger will sit out this weekend. That means backup Mason Rudolph will be getting the start at quarterback for the Steelers. Rudolph’s start comes a year after DE Myles Garrett tried to knock his head off in a full out melee towards the end of a Thursday night game in 2019. The difference this year is that the Browns have a lot to play for. Cleveland wins and they clinch their first playoff berth in 18 years. Yes, the Steelers have allowed the fewest sacks this season, but much of that can be attributed to Ben Roethlisberger’s lightning-quick release. However, with Rudolph starting, the Browns should be able to find more success with their pass rush than against Roethlisberger.
In ten games last year, Rudolph was sacked 15 times while throwing nine interceptions, which is exactly what we like to see when rostering the Browns defense this week.
These are some of the players we will have in our GPP and Cash lineups for DraftKings NFL 2020 Week 17 Picks. Good Luck, and may your screens always be green.
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